Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.000143 0.000157 0.000173 0.000190 0.000210 0.000232 0.000257
2025-10-26 0.000115 0.000136 0.000161 0.000191 0.000228 0.000272 0.000328
2025-11-02 0.000097 0.000121 0.000150 0.000189 0.000239 0.000302 0.000390
2025-11-09 0.000085 0.000110 0.000143 0.000188 0.000250 0.000333 0.000455
2025-11-16 0.000075 0.000101 0.000135 0.000185 0.000256 0.000357 0.000511
2025-11-23 0.000067 0.000093 0.000128 0.000180 0.000259 0.000375 0.000561
2025-11-30 0.000062 0.000088 0.000126 0.000183 0.000272 0.000409 0.000640
2025-12-07 0.000059 0.000085 0.000124 0.000187 0.000287 0.000446 0.000727
2025-12-14 0.000054 0.000080 0.000119 0.000183 0.000289 0.000464 0.000784
2025-12-21 0.000049 0.000074 0.000112 0.000176 0.000286 0.000471 0.000824
2025-12-28 0.000046 0.000071 0.000110 0.000177 0.000294 0.000500 0.000906
2026-01-04 0.000044 0.000068 0.000108 0.000178 0.000304 0.000532 0.000998
2026-01-11 0.000041 0.000065 0.000104 0.000176 0.000309 0.000556 0.001082
2026-01-18 0.000038 0.000063 0.000103 0.000178 0.000320 0.000595 0.001201
2026-01-25 0.000036 0.000059 0.000099 0.000176 0.000324 0.000620 0.001297
2026-02-01 0.000034 0.000057 0.000097 0.000175 0.000332 0.000652 0.001415
2026-02-08 0.000032 0.000054 0.000094 0.000172 0.000334 0.000674 0.001512
2026-02-15 0.000030 0.000051 0.000090 0.000168 0.000333 0.000688 0.001592
2026-02-22 0.000028 0.000050 0.000089 0.000171 0.000346 0.000736 0.001765
2026-03-01 0.000028 0.000049 0.000089 0.000174 0.000361 0.000789 0.001965
2026-03-08 0.000026 0.000047 0.000086 0.000170 0.000361 0.000808 0.002073
2026-03-15 0.000024 0.000044 0.000082 0.000164 0.000354 0.000808 0.002128
2026-03-22 0.000023 0.000043 0.000081 0.000165 0.000362 0.000849 0.002312